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Main analysis: Accel 2025: The Platform Is Broadening, but Cash Has Not Caught Up Yet
March 31, 2026~8 min read

Starlight And Nextwave: Will The New Defense Leg Really Change Accel

The main article read Accel through the gap between platform expansion and cash conversion. This follow-up isolates the Starlight and Nextwave deal: Accel funded the first check through bonds and warrants, pushed up to ILS 40.3 million into a profitability test through 2028, and is meanwhile asking the market to focus on pro forma adjusted EBITDA that has not yet passed through reported numbers.

Why This Deal Thread Matters

The main article argued that Accel is widening the platform faster than it is widening cash conversion. This follow-up isolates Starlight and Nextwave because the gap between strategy and transaction economics is especially visible here. The new defense leg may change Accel, but for now it has not yet changed the reported numbers. For now it mostly changes the deal structure, the funding layer, and the way management wants the market to read 2026.

The timeline matters. The agreement was signed on December 10, 2025. The Competition Authority granted approval on January 29, 2026, and the company reported that on January 30. The deal itself closed on February 4, 2026. So by the time the annual report and the investor presentation were published at the end of March, Accel had already sold the story, but as of year-end 2025 there was still no reported contribution from Starlight and Nextwave to revenue, profit, or cash flow.

That is why the right question is not whether defense exposure sounds attractive. It does. The right question is how the deal is actually structured, what has already been paid, what has been pushed out, and which number management wants the market to adopt before the business has even entered the consolidated accounts.

The First Check Is Funded, The Rest Still Has To Be Earned

The transaction structure is fairly clear. At closing, Accel paid ILS 49.2 million to the sellers. On top of that sits contingent consideration of up to ILS 40.3 million, payable only if targets for average adjusted annual profit before tax are achieved over 2026 through 2028, and in any case no later than April 30, 2029. To secure that future payment, the company also deposited a promissory note with a trustee.

That is the heart of the deal economics. Accel did not buy the whole business in cash on day one. It bought full ownership immediately, but deferred almost half the potential price into a multi-year performance test. The sellers received a large first check, but the second one depends on whether the business actually delivers a defined level of profitability over time.

Funding for the first step is also explicit. The annual report and the completion report directly tie the acquisition to the issuance completed on January 13, 2026: ILS 55 million par value of bonds together with 9.9 million warrants, for immediate gross proceeds of ILS 57.2 million. Management's presentation frames this as a ILS 55 million bond raise at 5% interest.

Deal Structure Versus The Initial Funding Layer

The basic arithmetic says a lot. Gross proceeds from the bonds and warrants exceeded the closing payment by only about ILS 8 million, before issuance expenses and before any discussion of the second check. In other words, the capital market funded almost exactly the entry ticket. It did not fund the full deal. The rest of the price has been deferred into the future, which is why the transaction feels lighter on day one than it may eventually prove to be.

The Deal Only Looks Cheap If You Stop At The First Check

This is where the continuation becomes interesting. In the investor presentation, management assigns Starlight and Nextwave adjusted EBITDA of ILS 17.494 million. If a reader divides the closing payment, ILS 49.2 million, by that number, the deal can look quite cheap. Even the full ceiling of ILS 89.5 million can appear reasonable when placed against the same figure.

But that is too partial a reading for two reasons. First, the full possible price is not ILS 49.2 million. It is up to ILS 89.5 million. Second, and more importantly, the number used to market the deal and the number used to determine the second check are not the same number. The presentation speaks in adjusted EBITDA. The contract speaks in average adjusted annual profit before tax over 2026 to 2028. Those are different hurdles.

The economic meaning is straightforward. Adjusted EBITDA can quickly create the picture of a new, profitable engine, but the contingent payment will be judged on a lower line in the income statement, after additional layers of cost and friction. So even if the presentation makes the deal look cheap, the real price is not yet locked. It depends on whether profitability over the coming years clears the contractual threshold, not merely the presentation threshold.

That is also why the structure is smarter than a simple all-cash acquisition. Accel did not prepay for the entire defense dream. It paid for the right to start, and pushed the bigger test into the future. But that same deferral also means the final economic cost can still rise materially if the business really delivers what management is signaling.

What Management Is Selling, And What Still Is Not Proven

The presentation is not just describing a transaction. It is building a narrative. On slides 16 and 17, Starlight and Nextwave are presented as companies founded in 2000 that develop and integrate RF and Microwave products, components, and systems for defense applications, especially missiles, telemetry, and aviation. On top of that, management adds two more layers: a strong defense-demand backdrop, and a cross-sell opportunity into strategic customers through cybersecurity services and fuller hardware-and-software offerings to defense end customers.

This is not just a market argument. It is a platform argument. Management is effectively telling the market not to view the acquisition as another acquired company, but as a move that completes Accel toward a broader defense-facing offering.

Slide 9 adds the numerical layer of that narrative. There, Accel assembles pro forma adjusted EBITDA of ILS 62.35 million, built from ILS 23.144 million in telecom, ILS 19.306 million in cyber, ILS 17.494 million from Starlight and Nextwave, ILS 8.606 million from Synel, and minus ILS 6.2 million of Accel adjustments.

How Management Builds Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA Of ILS 62.35 Million

The weight of Starlight and Nextwave inside that framing is meaningful. Against Accel's reported 2025 adjusted EBITDA of ILS 38.222 million, the ILS 17.494 million attributed to Starlight and Nextwave is roughly 46% of the year's reported base. So this is not a side deal. On management's own slide, it is a contribution large enough to materially change the way the group is supposed to be measured.

But this is exactly where caution matters. None of this is part of reported 2025 performance. Starlight and Nextwave closed only on February 4, 2026, so the consolidated 2025 numbers do not prove that this contribution already works inside the group. For now we have regulatory approval, a completed deal, a clear payment structure, and an aggressively framed management story. We do not yet have consolidated numbers showing what that contribution looks like after integration, funding costs, and the normal friction of a broader platform.

So Will The New Defense Leg Really Change Accel

The short answer is yes, but not in the way the headline can initially suggest. Starlight and Nextwave already change Accel at the level of strategic option value, but not yet at the level of reported proof.

They do change Accel because this is a clearer entry into defense, with an activity base that management presents as capable of bringing both new customers and a tighter link between hardware, integration, and cybersecurity services. They are also not changing Accel only symbolically. Based on the presentation, the adjusted EBITDA contribution is far from trivial relative to Accel's current base.

But they still do not change Accel in the deeper sense because four things remain unproven. First, whether the ILS 17.494 million will actually translate into visible consolidated contribution rather than being diluted on the way through. Second, whether the cross-sell narrative will show up in orders, customers, and margins rather than remain a strategic promise. Third, whether the contractual profitability test will justify a meaningful contingent payment without making the transaction look much more expensive in hindsight. Fourth, whether this new leg helps Accel in cash, not just in adjusted EBITDA optics.

That is why this continuation reaches a fairly clean conclusion: for now, Starlight and Nextwave are more of a partly funded option on a defense leg than proof that Accel has already changed. The economic structure of the deal actually supports that reading. It protects Accel on day one, but pushes the real test into 2026 through 2028.

Conclusion

If the question in the title is answered directly, the new defense leg can change Accel, but for now it mainly changes the story management is telling and the economic option the company has purchased, not what has already been proven in the accounts. The capital market funded almost exactly the first check, most of the possible price was pushed into a future profitability test, and the number management emphasizes, pro forma adjusted EBITDA, still sits outside reported 2025 results.

What would need to happen for that read to change? First, the next filings need to show an actual contribution from Starlight and Nextwave inside the group. Second, there needs to be a real signal that the defense-customer synergy is moving from presentation language into commercial activity. And alongside that, the company needs to show that the new leg does not just enlarge the platform, but also helps narrow the gap between platform scale and cash.

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